How Can Cyber Defenders Win?

18 Jan 2024 09:00h - 09:45h

Event report

Prevailing geopolitical uncertainty, the worsening economic crisis and the need to adapt and prepare for advances in transformative technologies, such as generative AI, have exacerbated the divide between cyber-resilient organizations and those that lack resources and know-how.

What is the role of leadership in navigating the risks posed to the cyber ecosystem by these multifaceted transitions?

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Table of contents

Disclaimer: This is not an official record of the WEF session. The DiploAI system automatically generates these resources from the audiovisual recording. Resources are presented in their original format, as provided by the AI (e.g. including any spelling mistakes). The accuracy of these resources cannot be guaranteed. The official record of the session can be found on the WEF YouTube channel.

Full session report

Gary Steele

Gary Steele, a cybersecurity expert, anticipates a challenging year ahead for the field due to ongoing conflicts and the US election cycle. These factors contribute to a surge in threat activity, making cybersecurity more difficult to ensure. However, despite these challenges, Steele remains optimistic about advancements in cyber security measures and the impact of heightened awareness.

Steele believes that future innovations in Artificial Intelligence (AI) will make cybersecurity more accessible and cost-effective. AI can facilitate cyber defence for organizations with limited resources and expertise. This positive outlook reflects the increasing investments and maturity in the cybersecurity sector, with numerous companies focused on innovation.

There has been an improvement in awareness about cyber risks at the leadership level in boardrooms. Cyber risk is now a top priority topic of conversation, signifying progress in corporate governance. However, there is still a lack of regulation mandating cyber expertise in boardrooms, which highlights a need for stronger measures.

Transparency is crucial in the cybersecurity field. Steele views the SEC rule, which brings transparency to industries, as beneficial. Transparency enables better decision-making, agility, and improved response to vulnerabilities. Steele advocates for transparency in both industries and the software supply chain.

Steele emphasizes the importance of transparency in collective defense against cyber threats. Faster and more transparent communication and collaboration are key for better outcomes in addressing cyber events.

In conclusion, despite the challenges, Steele remains optimistic about advancements in cyber security measures. The integration of AI holds promise, and there has been an improvement in awareness about cyber risks. However, a lack of regulation mandating cyber expertise in boardrooms hinders progress. Transparency is crucial in both industries and the software supply chain, as well as in achieving collective defense against cyber threats.

Sadie Creese

The analysis highlights the critical importance of cyber defense during international conflicts. It emphasises the need for a partnership between the private and public sectors to strengthen cyber defenses, as seen in the example of Ukraine. The partnership between these sectors played a vital role in bolstering cyber defenses.

Preparedness in rapidly enhancing cyber defenses in potential conflict areas is essential. Investing in relationships and networks is crucial for effective cooperation and communication. International support is needed to defend public infrastructures against cyber threats.

The analysis raises concerns about the complex nature of systemic cyber risks. It suggests that these risks are not fully understood, making it challenging to anticipate and mitigate them effectively. Simulation and scenario studies are valuable tools for anticipating cyber risks and their potential consequences.

The potential cost of a cyber crisis is a significant consideration. Special policy decisions may be necessary to protect critical sectors or organizations. Modelling and simulations demonstrate the potential for significant consequences that could exceed any organization’s capital reserves. Urgent action is needed to address these cyber risks.

Establishing baseline cyber security levels globally is crucial. Cyber threats transcend national boundaries, making cooperation and trust-building among nations essential for effective cyber defense. Access to and effective use of cyber defense technologies are key in bolstering cyber defenses.

Broader investment in technology, law, strategy, policy, mindset, and the rule of law is necessary for comprehensive cyber security. The inclusion of the Global South in establishing cyber security resilience is important, as these regions have been largely left to their own devices during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Leadership plays a significant role in cybersecurity. Leaders must understand and respond appropriately to cyber threats to ensure an effective cybersecurity posture.

The analysis emphasizes the importance of heightened cyber risk awareness among all members of an organization. Just as financial risk is understood, cyber risk should be ingrained into the mindset of individuals within an organization. The rapid evolution of technology and the threat landscape necessitates that the entire organization be “cyber fit.”

The analysis also highlights the targeting of senior leaders in cyber attacks. The emergence of deepfake tools and ransomware attacks puts senior leaders at high risk. Investment in enhancing “cyber risk fitness” among senior leadership is needed, given the close coupling of cyber risk and financial risk.

In conclusion, the analysis underscores the critical importance of cyber defense during international conflicts. It emphasizes the need for a partnership between the private and public sectors, preparedness in enhancing cyber defenses, and understanding systemic cyber risks. The analysis also stresses the need for global cooperation, access to cyber defense technologies, and broader investment in various aspects of cyber security. Leadership and cyber risk awareness among all members of an organization are crucial, as are measures to protect senior leaders.

John Doyle

Cyber insecurity and systemic events are identified as significant risks in the field of cybersecurity. Over the past 20 years, cyber risk has risen to the top of the list for businesses worldwide, indicating widespread concern about this issue. Data confirms that businesses are highly mindful of cyber risks and recognise the need for preventive measures.

The increasing role of AI is seen as both an opportunity and a challenge in the fight against cyber risks. John Doyle, an expert in the field, believes that AI will amplify the arms race in cybersecurity, posing risks for both sides. This suggests the need for ongoing efforts to keep pace with advancements in AI technology and its potential implications for cybersecurity.

Risk awareness and the implementation of preventive measures are highlighted as crucial in addressing cyber risks. John Doyle emphasises the necessity for businesses and individuals to be mindful of cyber risk and to take appropriate steps to mitigate potential threats. This includes staying up to date with the latest security protocols and investing in the necessary resources to protect against cyber threats.

The role of cyber insurance in risk readiness and resilience is recognised. Cyber insurance companies have started engaging in dialogue with businesses through cyber self-assessment tools to assess their preparedness. However, it is noted that certain segments of industries may not be able to obtain insurance due to their lack of preparedness. It is suggested that cyber insurance plays a critical role in helping businesses and industries build resilience against cyber risks.

The cyber insurance market is adjusting to the rise in ransomware claims. Prices were initially on the rise in response to the explosion of ransomware incidents, but they are now starting to come down slightly as the market adapts to this new threat landscape.

Insurers and reinsurers express concern about systemic events such as cyber terror, power grid failures, and cloud service provider issues. They are investing heavily in modelling to prepare for and manage these potential events, highlighting the need for comprehensive risk management strategies.

Public-private partnerships are advocated for in addressing the complex challenges of cyber insurance. Working with governments, particularly in catastrophic scenarios that exceed the insurance industry’s capacity, can help ensure better coverage and risk management strategies.

Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are identified as the most unprepared and uninsured in terms of cyber risks. In the event of a major incident, uninsured SMEs may have their risks fall on the government’s balance sheets. This highlights the importance of raising awareness among SMEs about the need for cyber insurance and risk management.

The industry’s role in risk awareness and readiness is emphasised. Having a level of expertise within companies is seen as an essential indicator of risk awareness and readiness. The industry is encouraged to focus on sending signals rather than strict enforcement to drive improved cybersecurity practices.

Governments are urged to utilise aggregated data to improve security. While reporting requirements have led to the aggregation of significant amounts of data, it is argued that governments need to analyse and learn from this data to enhance security measures. This highlights the importance of data utilisation and analysis in addressing cyber risks effectively.

In conclusion, cyber insecurity and systemic events pose significant challenges in the field of cybersecurity. The role of AI, risk awareness, preventive measures, cyber insurance, and public-private partnerships are all key factors in addressing these challenges. The need for increased focus on SMEs, the industry’s role in signalling, and the utilisation of aggregated data by governments also feature prominently in the conversation around cybersecurity. By proactively addressing these key areas, businesses and governments can work together to enhance cybersecurity practices and mitigate the risks associated with cyber threats.

Jürgen Stock

Global law enforcement is facing significant challenges in tackling the escalating number of cyber-related crimes. Approximately 70-80% of Interpol member countries struggle to investigate cybercrime due to a lack of legislation and capabilities. This highlights the urgent need for increased resources and investment in law enforcement to effectively combat cybercrime.

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is revolutionizing the landscape of cybercrime, presenting both opportunities and challenges for criminals and law enforcement agencies alike. Criminals are leveraging AI to commit crimes at a larger scale, with greater sophistication, and at a faster speed. They offer malicious services such as denial of service attacks, phishing mails, and deep fakes through the underground economy. The availability of AI-as-a-service for criminals further amplifies these threats. In response, law enforcement agencies need to adapt and equip themselves with AI technologies to effectively combat cybercrime.

Given the increasing use of AI by cybercriminals, there is an urgent need to address cybercrime and prepare for future challenges. The statistics show a continuous upward trend in cybercrime, emphasizing the need for comprehensive action. AI empowers criminals to perpetrate crimes more efficiently, making it essential to take immediate measures to combat cyber threats.

In India, cyber incidents are significantly underreported, with only 8-30% of incidents being disclosed. This suggests that the actual extent and impact of cybercrime in India could be much higher than reported figures. Encouraging individuals and organizations to report cyber incidents and ensuring transparency in the reporting process is crucial to effectively combat cybercrime.

It is important to educate the public and private sectors about the procedural steps following the report of a cybercrime. Many people may hesitate to report incidents due to uncertainty about the consequences or lack of awareness regarding the subsequent actions that will be taken. Enhancing awareness and understanding can encourage more victims and witnesses to come forward, facilitating a more effective response to cybercrime.

Global cooperation and coordination are essential to address the transnational nature of cybercrime and the limited resources available. Collaborating between countries and agencies enables the sharing of information, strategies, and best practices, strengthening the capabilities of law enforcement agencies to combat cybercrime effectively.

Creating a secure architecture requires collaboration between the public and private sectors at national, regional, and global levels. Singapore’s anti-scam center serves as a prime example, enabling real-time information sharing between sectors. Establishing cooperative frameworks enhances the response to cybercrime by leveraging the expertise and resources of the private sector.

Interpol is ready to cooperate with the private sector in combatting cybercrime, as demonstrated by their gateway project in Singapore. This initiative allows for real-time sharing of information, enhancing investigation and prevention efforts. Collaboration between the public and private sectors has the potential to strengthen the fight against cybercrime.

While crime will always exist, efforts should be focused on reducing the risk associated with cybercrime. Taking a holistic approach that incorporates effective security measures, international cooperation, and ongoing education and awareness programs is key. By addressing the root causes and implementing comprehensive strategies, the impact of cybercrime can be mitigated.

The ethical use of AI in law enforcement provides an opportunity for more effective deterrence and prosecution. Leveraging AI technologies aids in identifying and apprehending cybercriminals, ensuring fair and just legal processes. Striking a balance between technology and ethical practices is crucial for harnessing the full potential of AI in combating cybercrime.

Bringing cybercriminals to justice is an essential part of fighting cybercrime. Robust investigation and prosecution by law enforcement authorities establish a strong deterrence, sending a message that cybercriminals will be held accountable for their actions. This serves as a significant deterrent and protects individuals and organizations from cyber threats.

In conclusion, global law enforcement faces significant challenges in combatting the increasing volume of cyber-related crimes. The lack of legislation and capabilities hinders effective investigation, highlighting the need for increased investment and resources. AI presents both opportunities and challenges, demanding urgent action to prepare for future threats. Accurate reporting, education, global cooperation, and a holistic architecture of security are crucial in addressing cybercrime. Ethical use of AI and the pursuit of justice for cybercriminals contribute to creating a safer digital environment.

Debjani Ghosh

During the discussion on cybersecurity and the digital society, several key points were highlighted. One of the main points made was that India is considered a digital society. It was mentioned that the last mile in India is already connected by technology for livelihood, indicating widespread technology adoption throughout the country. Furthermore, digital literacy and responsible use of technology are being promoted at the grassroots level and have become part of the core curriculum. This indicates that efforts are being made to educate the population on the safe and responsible use of technology.

The importance of secure infrastructure for India’s digital economy was also emphasized. It was mentioned that security by design is being ensured to protect digital public infrastructures. This suggests that measures are being taken to build secure foundations for the digital economy in India.

In the context of the post-COVID hybrid work model, it was noted that more than 50% of employees are still working from home. As a result, the focus on cybersecurity should shift from securing the enterprise perimeter to ensuring cybersecurity in the home and partner ecosystems. This highlights the need to adapt to new cybersecurity paradigms to address the evolving challenges brought about by the hybrid work model.

The discussion also touched upon the challenges in cybersecurity education. It was stated that only 15% of organizations are optimistic about a significant improvement in cyber skills and education in the next two years. Additionally, a lack of resources and skills was identified as the biggest challenge when designing cyber resilience. This suggests that there is a need to address the skills gap in the field of cybersecurity to effectively tackle evolving cyber threats.

The importance of upskilling and workforce training in cybersecurity was emphasized. It was acknowledged that traditional education processes may not be able to keep pace with the rapidly evolving technology landscape and risk landscape. Instead, models that act as security experts and integrate security protocols into every level of operation were suggested as a way to save time and enhance cybersecurity.

AI (Artificial Intelligence) was recognized as a fundamental aspect of cybersecurity. It was stated that AI provides game-changing capabilities and could be used by both good and bad actors. Moreover, the potential of AI to build cyber resilience was highlighted. It was recommended that governments and companies should utilize AI to strengthen their cybersecurity efforts and fight against AI-powered cyber threats.

In conclusion, the discussion on cybersecurity and the digital society highlighted the progress India has made as a digital society, the need to adapt to new cybersecurity paradigms in the post-COVID hybrid work model, the challenges in cybersecurity education, and the importance of upskilling and utilizing AI for building cyber resilience. It is evident that cybersecurity should focus on resilience and recovery, and leveraging AI is crucial in enhancing cybersecurity capabilities.

Audience

During the discussion, several topics related to cyber defence, emerging countries, and supply chain security were addressed. The speakers expressed concerns about the position of emerging countries in terms of cyber defence capabilities. An audience member, who had been working on these topics in Latin America, shared their concerns about the challenges faced by even big companies in managing cyber defence. This highlights the urgent need for emerging countries to strengthen their cyber defence strategies and capabilities.

Furthermore, another important point raised during the discussion was the need for suppliers to develop cyber defence capabilities. It was questioned what would happen if suppliers are unable to manage cyber defence effectively. The potential consequences of not being able to develop these capabilities include being left out of the market and losing competitiveness. This highlights the significant impact that cyber defence can have on a supplier’s market position and overall business sustainability.

The audience also sought recommendations for managing cyber defence in emerging countries and suppliers. While specific recommendations were not mentioned, it signifies the interest and willingness to explore effective strategies for tackling cyber threats in these contexts. This further underscores the need for proactive measures and policies to enhance cyber defence in both emerging countries and supplier networks.

In addition to cyber defence, the discussion touched on the conditions for reconnection in a network after a disconnect. Recent incidents in the US treasury market were referenced to emphasise the importance of transparency and financial market infrastructure. The speakers highlighted the need for more preparation and work to be done in advance to ensure a smooth and efficient reconnection process. This positive sentiment highlights the potential benefits of proactive planning and readiness in managing network disconnects and reconnection.

Overall, the discussion shed light on the pressing issues surrounding cyber defence, emerging countries, and supply chain security. It highlighted the need for emerging countries to strengthen their cyber defence capabilities and the importance for suppliers to proactively develop these capabilities. It also emphasised the significance of transparent financial market infrastructure and proactive preparation for network disconnection and reconnection. These insights contribute to the ongoing efforts to address the challenges and implications of cyber threats in today’s interconnected world.

Samir Saran

The analysis highlights several key findings regarding the relationship between cybersecurity and various factors such as geopolitics, economic inequality, artificial intelligence, and third parties. One significant point is that geopolitics has significantly influenced organizations’ cybersecurity strategies, which is seen in a negative light. This suggests that the political climate and international relations play a crucial role in shaping cybersecurity approaches.

Furthermore, a growing cyber inequity is observed, with smaller companies and countries struggling in this domain. This negative sentiment is supported by the fact that the number of organizations capable of minimum viable cyber resilience has decreased by 30% in the last year. Smaller companies and countries are finding it particularly challenging to keep up with cybersecurity measures, leading to a sense of inequality in cyber protection.

The analysis also explores the negative impact of generative artificial intelligence (AI) on the cybersecurity landscape. It reveals that fewer than one in 10 respondents believe that generative AI will give an advantage to defenders. This finding suggests that AI, in this context, is perceived as adding to the overall threats faced in cybersecurity, rather than providing a solution. More research and development in this area are needed to better understand and mitigate potential risks.

In addition, a significant number of cyber incidents are caused by third parties. This observation highlights the importance of organizations strengthening their cybersecurity measures when collaborating with external entities. Robust processes to vet and monitor third-party access to sensitive data and systems are crucial in minimizing the risk of cyber incidents.

The analysis concludes with the urgent call for action to address the growing cyber inequity. The sentiment is neutral, indicating that while there is recognition of the issue, it is yet to be effectively resolved. The input of 120 surveyed executives at the World Economic Forum further supports the call for urgent action to address this inequity.

Additionally, the analysis emphasizes the need to include the Global South in resilience plans and international partnerships. It highlights the fact that countries from the Global South were largely left to solve pandemic issues on their own and received vaccines significantly later than Europe, America, and India. This observation advocates for greater global inclusivity in building resilience and fostering international partnerships.

Overall, this comprehensive analysis underscores the complex interplay between cybersecurity and various factors such as geopolitics, economic inequality, artificial intelligence, and third parties. It demonstrates the need for continuous vigilance, research, and cooperation to ensure robust cybersecurity strategies that are inclusive and resilient in the face of evolving threats.

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Audience

Speech speed

181 words per minute

Speech length

210 words

Speech time

70 secs

DG

Debjani Ghosh

Speech speed

176 words per minute

Speech length

1029 words

Speech time

350 secs

GS

Gary Steele

Speech speed

213 words per minute

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1055 words

Speech time

297 secs

JD

John Doyle

Speech speed

193 words per minute

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1127 words

Speech time

351 secs

JS

Jürgen Stock

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199 words per minute

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1664 words

Speech time

501 secs

SC

Sadie Creese

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183 words per minute

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1459 words

Speech time

479 secs

SS

Samir Saran

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189 words per minute

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2038 words

Speech time

646 secs